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Fantasy football rankings, projections, lineups, sleepers for NFL Week 1, 2026 from proven model

SportsLine's model reveals its Fantasy football rankings, lineups picks and sleepers for Week 1

Fantasy football rankings, projections, lineups, sleepers for NFL Week 1, 2026 from proven model

SportsLine's model reveals its Week 1 Fantasy football projections, PPR rankings, start-sit advice for sites like CBS Sports, ESPN and Yahoo

By

Sep 9, 2026 at

12:22 pm ET 3 min read

You've fulfilled the GM role with your 2026 Fantasy football team by drafting your roster, now you must take on the role of head coach by deciding who to insert into your Week 1 Fantasy football lineups. One week doesn't make or break a Fantasy season, but everyone would love to start the year off 1-0. So, while there are must-starts, who you selected early on in drafts, there are still several Week 1 Fantasy football start-sit decisions to make up and down your roster.

Last year saw the likes of Daniel Jones, Quentin Johnston and Noah Fant produce top-five performances for their respective positions as Week 1 Fantasy football picks. There are always players who go overlooked who start the season in huge fashion. Could an old face in a new place like Kyler Murray, Stefon Diggs or D.J. Moore have an unforgettable debut? Before setting your Week 1 Fantasy football lineups, be sure to .

Top Week 1 Fantasy football picks 

One surprise in Week 1: The model is fading Bills quarterback Josh Allen, despite him leading all players in Fantasy points a year ago and finishing first or second in positional points each of the last six seasons. In Week 1, Allen has the unfortunate task of facing Houston's No. 1 defense that sacked Allen a career-high eight times in last year's meeting. The QB didn't find the endzone with either his arm or legs in that contest, but he did throw two interceptions. Allen has never had a rushing touchdown in four regular season starts versus the Texans. Also, Houston will host, and Allen has 10 turnovers over his last three Week 1 road starts, as the model has the 2024 MVP outside the top 15 in the Week 1 Fantasy football QB rankings.

Another curveball: The model is high on Chargers wideout Ladd McConkey, despite him regressing in his sophomore year, going from the WR12 in 2024 to WR30 last season. McConkey will have less competition for targets this year with Keenan Allen's departure, and he'll benefit from upgrades within Los Angeles' offense, namely better O-line health and the addition of OC Mike McDaniel. He also has a great opening week matchup versus Arizona, which was 27th in total defense and 29th in scoring defense last year. McConkey slots in as a top 10 Fantasy wideout this week, even ahead of the likes of CeeDee Lamb and Justin Jefferson. For more start/sit Fantasy football advice, be sure to .

So who should you start and sit this week, and which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory?

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