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Week 1 2026 bold predictions: Can Tua Tagovailoa best Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh?

Five bold predictions to start the NFL season, from Tua Tagovailoa outdoing Rodgers to Josh Allen finally overcoming his Houston woes.

Week 1 2026 bold predictions: Can Tua Tagovailoa best Aaron Rodgers in Pittsburgh?
The NFL is back, which means our weekly bold predictions column at CBS Sports is too! Just when we think we know what's going to happen around the league, surprises happen every week.

Just look at the against the in Australia, marking the largest Week 1 loss (20 points) by the preseason Super Bowl favorite in recorded history (odds have been available for the last 50 seasons), per CBS Sports Research. The defeat also marked the fewest points the Rams have scored in a game with 2025 NFL MVP as their quarterback. Even 2025 NFL Defensive Player of the Year couldn't do anything to slow San Francisco down, registering his fourth career game without a tackle despite playing 39 snaps against the 49ers.

What other head-scratching events will go down in Week 1? Let's take a look at five bold predictions. 

Tua Tagovailoa outduels Aaron Rodgers, helps lead Falcons to upset road win

Pittsburgh was the site of final start as a , a 28-15 loss in Week 15. Tagovailoa didn't play terribly, throwing for 253 yards, two touchdowns and an interception on 22-of-28 passing, while taking four sacks. However, was more efficient with 224 yards passing and two passing touchdowns on 23 of 27 passing while taking three sacks.

Fortunately for the and their loaded cast of playmakers (, and ), the defense had a 20.9% missed tackle rate in 2025, the sixth-highest rate in the , he'll outplay Rodgers to shock the Steelers en route to a Falcons victory. This, of course, would be jaw-dropping after watching his 2026 preseason. 

Josh Allen doesn't get smoked by the Texans for a third year in a row

is  and . But their defensive coordinator, Rob Leonard, served as the team's defensive line coach and defensive run-game coordinator last season. Leonard had a heavy hand in coaching a defense that struggled to tackle consistently in 2025, and Achane will take advantage of that in a big way to kick off the 2026 season with at least 150 yards rushing.

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Reported by @garrettpodell · Syndicated via official news feed

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